1999 Shareholder Letter
Buffett's 1999 letter admits his worst absolute and relative performance ('a D in capital allocation'), discusses Jordan's Furniture and MidAmerican acquisitions, and explains why S&P returns will be lower going forward.
1999 Shareholder Letter
Date: March 1, 2000 Author: Warren Buffett Company: Berkshire Hathaway
Overview
1999 net worth increased only $358 million or 0.5% (S&P 21%) — Buffett's worst absolute and relative performance of his tenure. Per-share book value reached $37,987 — a 24.0% compound annual return over 35 years.
Key Points
Worst Year — Grade D
"The numbers on the facing page show just how poor our 1999 record was. We had the worst absolute performance of my tenure and, compared to the S&P, the worst relative performance as well."
Buffett took full responsibility: "My 'one subject' is capital allocation, and my grade for 1999 most assuredly is a D."
Several major investees had disappointing operating results, hurting the equity portfolio.
Two Acquisitions — All Cash
- Jordan's Furniture — acquired for cash
- MidAmerican Energy — contracted to buy a major portion, all cash
"We bought both for cash, issuing no Berkshire shares. Deals of that kind aren't always possible, but that is the method of acquisition that Charlie and I vastly prefer."
Why S&P Will Underperform
Buffett predicted S&P 500 returns over the next decade or two would be "far less well than it has done since 1982."
Future Expectations
"For Berkshire, truly large superiorities over that index are a thing of the past."
Only "modest" superiority expected going forward, due to:
- Higher stock prices then available
- Much smaller capital base in early years = wider range of opportunities
Famous Quotes
"I think you're spending too much time on that one subject." — Coach to struggling quarterback
Related
- letter-1998 — Previous year
- letter-2000 — Following year
- warren-buffett
- compounding