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Buffett Partnership Letter 1960 Annual

1960 annual - 22.8% gain vs -6.3% Dow, Sanborn Map case study

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Buffett Partnership Letter 1960 Annual

Warren E. Buffett | January 30, 1961

1960 Performance

Year Dow Partnership Limited Partners
1957 -8.4% 10.4% 9.3%
1958 38.5% 40.9% 32.2%
1959 19.9% 25.9% 20.9%
1960 -6.3% 22.8% 18.6%

The General Stock Market

In 1960, the picture reversed from 1959. The Dow declined from 679 to 616 (9.3% loss, 6.3% with dividends). About 90% of investment companies outperformed the Industrial Average.

Case Study: Sanborn Map

Business: Publication and continuous revision of extremely detailed maps of all U.S. cities for fire insurance companies.

Problem: "Carding" (a competitive underwriting method) made inroads on Sanborn's business. After-tax profits fell from over $500,000 annually (late 1930s) to under $100,000 in 1958-1959.

Paradox: Despite the map business declining, the investment portfolio flourished.

Price Paradox:

  • 1938: Dow at 100-120, Sanborn sold at $110/share
  • 1958: Dow at 550, Sanborn sold at $45/share
  • Meanwhile, investment portfolio grew from ~$20/share to $65/share

"In 1938... buyer of Sanborn stock placed a positive valuation of $90/share on the map business. In 1958... the same map business was evaluated at a minus $20."

Action: Buffett acquired controlling interest, reorganized the company, and cashed out 72% of stockholders at fair value, eliminating potential $1M+ capital gains tax.

Four-Year Cumulative Results

Period Partnership Gain Dow Gain
1957 10.4% -8.4%
1957-58 55.6% 26.9%
1957-59 95.9% 52.2%
1957-60 140.6% 42.6%

Source

Warren E. Buffett, January 30, 1961.